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ProtectDefenders.eu Index of Alerts
Human rights defenders are increasingly targeted because of their work to defend Human Rights. The ProtectDefenders.eu Index is a monitoring tool contributing to the mapping of violations committed towards human rights defenders to illustrate the scale of the crackdown and pressure that they face worldwide.
This Index is fed by public alerts provided by ProtectDefenders.eu partners and is based on verified information. However, the list of alerts can not be taken as complete nor exhaustive in any way. Real figures are much higher and many alerts and attacks still go unreported. Moreover, this tool does not compile alerts on EU countries.
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Main figures (Provisional counter)
Sources: compilation of public alerts on individual attacks reported by FIDH, OMCT, RSF, and Front Line Defenders © 2020 PROTECTDEFENDERS.EU
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The ProtectDefenders.eu Index of Alerts is a valuable resource for monitoring and analyzing global unrest, government repression, corruption, and attacks against human rights defenders. It provides insight into the scale of violations human rights defenders face, offering data from verified alerts contributed by partner organizations like FIDH, OMCT, RSF, and Front Line Defenders. This information can help predict trends in governmental and organizational corruption, as well as threats to civil liberties.
However, it’s important to note that the index may not reflect all incidents, as many attacks remain unreported, and it does not cover alerts from EU countries. For a comprehensive risk analysis, this tool can be combined with other data sources, such as reports from Transparency International, UN Human Rights offices, and local civil society organizations.
By tracking this data and cross-referencing it with socio-political factors, one can gain insights into corruption, systemic government issues, or emerging patterns of unrest that can help predict future violations or trends in specific regions.
For access to the Index of Alerts and more information, you can visit: ProtectDefenders.eu.
In addition to using the ProtectDefenders.eu Index of Alerts, you can incorporate other resources and methodologies to strengthen predictions of unrest, corruption, and violations:
1. Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) by Transparency International
This index provides a global overview of the perceived levels of public sector corruption, which can be a useful indicator of systemic risks and potential unrest. High corruption levels often correlate with political instability, increased crime, and government crackdowns.
2. Global Peace Index (GPI)
The GPI measures levels of peace in different nations, considering factors such as crime, political instability, and militarization. Countries with declining peace scores may face unrest or human rights violations, particularly in politically fragile environments.
3. ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project)
ACLED offers real-time data on political violence and protest events globally. It is useful for tracking patterns of conflict, protests, and government crackdowns, helping to foresee potential escalation in high-risk areas.
4. World Bank Governance Indicators
These indicators provide data on government effectiveness, regulatory quality, and control of corruption. Monitoring governance trends can reveal early signs of instability or corruption within governments or institutions.
5. Global Organized Crime Index
This index offers insights into transnational crime networks, drug cartels, and corrupt government or private entities involved in illicit activities. It's a key resource for predicting the rise in organized crime-linked corruption.
6. Freedom House’s Freedom in the World Report
This report scores countries on civil liberties and political rights, providing detailed analysis on the state of democracy. Declining scores are often precursors to government repression or corruption.
7. Open-source Intelligence (OSINT)
Monitoring social media, news outlets, and whistleblower reports in real-time can reveal early indications of corruption, unrest, or criminal activity before it escalates. OSINT tools like Dataminr, Meltwater, and Hootsuite can be useful for gathering relevant data.
8. Human Rights Watch (HRW) Reports
HRW regularly publishes reports on human rights abuses, governmental and organizational corruption, and violence against activists. These can serve as detailed qualitative inputs for assessing risks in various regions.
9. Machine Learning and Predictive Analytics
Leveraging machine learning models that analyze historical and current datasets on unrest, government corruption, or crime can improve the predictive power of these indices. By training models on past incidents, it's possible to detect trends and anomalies indicating potential future crises.
10. United Nations Human Rights Data
The UN regularly publishes data on human rights violations, displacement, and humanitarian crises. Combining this data with regional analysis can help in identifying potential triggers for unrest or government corruption.
By integrating these resources with the ProtectDefenders.eu Index, you can develop a more comprehensive and layered approach to identifying and predicting risks of unrest, corruption, and human rights violations worldwide.
cc Mary Lawlor
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