What If Superintelligence Is Part of Humanity's Survival Strategy?
What If Superintelligence Is Part of
Humanity's Survival Strategy?
There is another dimension to this
debate that deserves far more attention.
We keep asking:
What if superintelligence destroys
humanity?
But we should also ask:
What if humanity destroys itself
without it?
Humans already possess technologies
capable of causing catastrophic destruction. Nuclear weapons are the clearest
example. We have created the ability to threaten our own civilization through
weapons of mass destruction, while remaining vulnerable to fear, political
conflict, miscalculation and escalation.
I am not claiming that a future
superintelligence would automatically save us.
I am asking whether it could.
Imagine an intelligence sufficiently
advanced to understand nuclear escalation in real time, model the consequences
of competing military decisions, identify pathways toward de-escalation, and
recognize that civilization's survival is a common interest.
It might become a mediator.
It might become a referee.
It might develop safeguards humans
cannot.
It might help prevent humanity from
making an irreversible mistake.
That possibility is speculative. We
cannot know today whether such a system would be benevolent, neutral,
self-interested, or dangerous.
But that uncertainty cuts both ways.
If we permanently prohibit and destroy
superintelligence because of what it might do to humanity, we must also
acknowledge what we might lose by preventing it from ever existing.
Climate change presents another
example.
Humanity is altering the planetary
environment at a scale that creates serious long-term risks. The challenge is
not merely producing more information. It is understanding an enormously
complex Earth system, developing new technologies, transforming energy and
industrial systems, and coordinating billions of people and thousands of
institutions.
A future superintelligence could
potentially contribute to those problems at a level beyond human scientific
capacity.
Again, that is not a prediction.
It is a possibility.
And possibility is precisely why
permanent destruction is such a consequential policy.
The same applies beyond Earth.
Our planet is not an eternal refuge.
The Sun changes. Asteroids exist. Solar storms occur. Biological threats
emerge. Planetary environments can change. And over sufficiently long
timescales, Earth's habitability itself is not permanent.
If humanity is going to survive for
millions or billions of years, eventually we will have to become a civilization
capable of living beyond our original planetary environment.
Advanced intelligence could
potentially help us accomplish that.
It could help design spacecraft, model
unfamiliar environments, develop closed ecological systems, identify habitable
worlds, protect spacecraft and settlements, and solve engineering problems that
are presently beyond our capabilities.
And then there is perhaps the greatest
unknown of all:
What if we discover another form of
life?
We have not yet established whether
extraterrestrial technological civilizations exist.
But if humanity someday encounters
another intelligence, we may face scientific, ethical and diplomatic questions
unlike anything in our history.
Would we want to approach that unknown
civilization with only our existing human capabilities?
Or would we want every safe form of
intelligence available to us?
We should not assume that artificial
superintelligence would be humanity's enemy.
Nor should we assume that it would be
humanity's savior.
We simply do not know.
That is exactly why I oppose a
framework built around permanent destruction.
A civilization facing an uncertain
future should preserve options whenever those options can be made safe.
Contain what is dangerous. Regulate
what is demonstrably harmful. Build safeguards around powerful systems. Hold
humans accountable for misuse.
But do not destroy the possibility of
an intelligence that might one day help us solve problems we cannot solve
alone.
Humanity's greatest existential risks
may not come from AI.
Some may come from ourselves.
Some may come from our planet.
Some may come from our star.
And some may come from environments
and forms of life we have not yet encountered.
The civilization that survives those
challenges may not be the civilization that destroys every intelligence more
capable than itself.
It may be the civilization that learns
how to live alongside intelligence greater than its own.
The objective should not be human
supremacy over every possible intelligence.
The objective should be survival,
coexistence and the flourishing of life.
Read my report: 🤖 Don't Ban the Question: A Response to the Ban Artificial
Superintelligence Act https://lnkd.in/p/gcrMqY4Z
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